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SS's ersatz MAGAs: why Kammy will need at least a 7 point lead in the polls to win
By HatetheSwamp
August 12, 2024 4:01 pm
Category: Media

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It's because progressives are so brutally sanctimonious that all of our former SS Trump posters have moved on to greener pastures.

po, our MAGA bigot in chief, has to pretend these days that OD and pb are MAGAs. But, we ain't.

And, it's not just SS. Self-righteous anti MAGA bigotry is a national phenomenon.

I was listening to a pollster t'other day being interviewed about the challenge of polling Pennsylvania voters because SO MANY TRUMP VOTERS JUST WON'T TELL THE TRUTH. Trump always exceeds the polls in Pennsylvania... and most purple states.

Being forthright about supporting Trump subjects one to the ire of fanatics like po... and there are millions of them across the nation.

Back in 020, one of pb's friends told him that his daughter had just gotten engaged and when she showed dad the ring, she actually said, "If you vote for Trump, I won't let you see your grandkids."

So, MAGAs keep their political leanings on the downlow. On a good day, they're merely pig-ignorant. On other days, the family shuns them. It ain't easy.

Now, let me start off with two words. I support Kammy. I support Kammy. And, I know this. Because of population shifts, Kammy may have to win the popular vote by 2.5% to win the Electoral College. And, due to woke oppression of MAGAs, it's reasonable to expect that polling will probably overestimate her support by 4-5%.

In 020, 538 overestimated the "dithering and diminished" Doddering Old Fool's support by 3.9%, and the woke are more sanctimonious than ever... and MAGAs are more cantankerous.

So? If Kammy's up 7%?, that may not be enough. I know that, until all the votes are counted, I won't relax.

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Comments on "SS's ersatz MAGAs: why Kammy will need at least a 7 point lead in the polls to win":

  1. by Curt_Anderson on August 12, 2024 4:55 pm
    In RCP’s final polling aggregate for 2020, Biden had 51.2%. See link. Biden’s share of the popular vote was 51.4%. It wasn’t that close in the electoral college.
    realclearpolling.com


  2. by HatetheSwamp on August 12, 2024 5:15 pm

    Check your link.

    "That feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap won by 4.5%.

    538 had him winning by 8.4%.
    realclearpolling.com
    projects.fivethirtyeight.com


  3. by Curt_Anderson on August 12, 2024 5:36 pm
    I checked it before I posted it. 51.2% and 51.4% are exactly right. In the electoral college it was 306 for Biden and 232 for Trump.


  4. by Donna on August 12, 2024 5:50 pm

    You're both right, but you're referring to different statistical categories.


  5. by HatetheSwamp on August 13, 2024 6:24 am

    Curt's not that stoopid. It has to be a Good German thing.


  6. by Curt_Anderson on August 13, 2024 7:01 am
    HtS,
    Your hypothesis is based on the most inaccurate poll aggregator in 2020. Why not go with RCP which within a fraction of a point in predicting Biden’s popular vote? Furthermore, Biden crushed Trump in the electoral college. If you are theorizing, don’t use unreliable, inaccurate data.


  7. by HatetheSwamp on August 13, 2024 7:14 am

    Bull$#!t. And, you've always touted 538 over RCP. I read your posts... and remember.

    RCP had "that feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap" leading the Orange Turd by 7.2.

    The point is that MAGAs lie to pollsters. You have no idea of what Trump's support is,... other than its tons higher than the best guess.

    RCP overestimated the "dithering and diminished" Doddering Old Fool's lead by 2.7%.

    So, let's give Kammy the benefit of the doubt. She'll only have to be leading by 6 to 7 points.
    realclearpolling.com


  8. by Ponderer on August 13, 2024 8:51 am

    "po, our MAGA bigot in chief, has to pretend these days that OD and pb are MAGAs. But, we ain't." -Hate

    Exactly what a lying ass MAGA Hat who is embarrassed by his helpless devotion to Trump would say. 👍


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