As I previously noted here, Donald Trump is actively hurting his own re-election chances. That's why Joe Biden has been able to run a low key campaign and maintain a healthy lead in the polls. Self-destructively Trump has cranked it up a notch and is now unintentionally helping down ballot Democratic candidates.
It's a given that Trump is not above cheating to win re-election. He will inveigle and finagle however he can to win in November. He's already been impeached for attempting to pressure the president of Ukraine to publicly besmirch Joe Biden, Trump's Democratic opponent in the general election.
Trump cheats with his political ads. The New York Times reviewed all of the Trump campaign's television ads since June. Two-thirds contained clearly misleading claims or videos. Trump's political ads are a compilation of deceptive editing and hyperbole.
Trump is loathe to competing honestly. He returned to his Birther playbook to question Oakland, California-born Kamala Harris's citizenship qualifications to be on a presidential ticket.
So it's no surprise that Trump is trying to cheat by hampering mail delivery, and in particular the timely delivery of mail-in ballots. He named a crony and Republican mega-donor Louis DeJoy as his Postmaster General this past May to do his bidding.
Trump hasn't even tried to hide his assault on vote-by-mail. His threats to the mail-in the ballot include lawsuits, legal maneuvers and the financial hobbling the US Postal Service: "They need that money in order to make the post office work, so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots." "If we don't make a deal, that means they don't get the money," he said. "That means they can't have universal mail-in voting. They just can't have it."
Unwittingly, Trump is doing Joe Biden and the Democrats a favor
Trump has done a great job of convincing voters, especially Democrats, that their vote is at risk. Combined with their concerns about Coronavirus, Trump has added another layer of voter uncertainty to this unsettling year and election season. By creating additional anxiety, Trump has perfectly set up the scenario for "panic voting".
According to a Pew Poll, 60% of Democrats expect it will be difficult in this year's election. Only 35% of Republicans do. Most registered voters who support Trump or lean toward supporting him would rather vote in person in the presidential election (80%). By contrast, a majority of voters who support or lean toward supporting Biden say their preference is to vote by mail in the presidential election (58%).
What applies to buying and products, applies to voting and ballots
According to Wikipedia, "panic buying during health crises is influenced by individuals' perception of the threat of a health crisis and scarcity of products; fear of the unknown, which is caused by emotional pressure and uncertainty; coping behavior, which views panic buying as a venue to relieve anxiety and regain control over the crisis; and social psychological factors, which account for the influence of the social network of an individual."
Examples of panic buying
1962 Cuban Missile Crisis – led to panic buying of canned foods in the United States.
The 1985 arrival of New Coke led many consumers to panic buy the original Coke.
The 1998 Beanie Baby "shortage". Parents, grandparents, collectors and investors were paying double or triple the retail price for "retired" Beanie Babies.
2008–2013 United States ammunition shortage – Panic buying by gun owners who feared tougher gun control laws under President Barack Obama was one cause of ammunition shortages.
The 2011 Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster led to panic buying which was triggered by rumors that iodized salt could help ward off radiation poisoning.
The COVID-19 pandemic – panic buying became a major international phenomenon in February and March 2020, when stores around the world were depleted of items such as face masks, food, bottled water, milk, toilet paper, hand sanitizer, rubbing alcohol, antibacterial wipes and painkillers. As a result, many retailers rationed the sale of these items.
Knowing what happened in the above examples of panic buying, imagine what Democratic voters will do in the months and weeks prior to the first Tuesday in November. They will not want to miss the opportunity to cast their vote. They will register. They will encourage friends to vote. They will get their mail-in ballots if their state allows it. Or they will get in line at their polling station. They will vote early to make sure their vote is counted. Polling places will look a Walmart before the doors open on Black Friday.
If my predictions prove correct, Democrats can thank Donald Trump for boosting Democratic voter turnout. The joke's on Donald Trump
Trump is making a big fuss over mail-in voting. He is a one-man public-service ad campaign reminding voters to vote-by-mail if they can. A New York Times analysis found that 76% of voters will have the choice to vote-by-mail this November, but only 18% are set to automatically receive a ballot in the mail.
Only nine states and the District of Columbia so far plan to hold universal mail-in elections – in which ballots are automatically mailed to all registered voters without needing to first request one.
They include the very blue states of Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington, California, Vermont and New Jersey are universal vote-by-mail states. The red state of Utah and the swing state of Nevada are the other universal vote-by-mail states. In addition, Montana, North Dakota and Nebraska allow individual counties to decide whether to mail ballots to all registered voters. To learn how and where to vote where you live, use the eac.gov (The U.S. Election Assistance Commission) website link below.