Post: How are the two major parties' US House candidates

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Politics selectors, pages, etc.

How are the two major parties' US House candidates doing in 2025 compared to 2024?

By Curt_Anderson
December 3, 2025 2:26 pm
Category: Politics
(5.0 from 1 vote)
Rules of the Post & Tips.

Looking at like congressional districts elections results, Republicans are underperforming by double-digits in 2025 compared to how they did in 2025

Tennessee's 7th Congressional District (December 2, 2025): Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democratic state Rep. Aftyn Behn by 53.9% to 45%. Rep. Mark Green (R) in 2024 won the election by 22 points. (Democrat improves +13.1)

Florida's 1st Congressional District (April 1, 2025): Republican Jimmy Patronis Democrat Gay Valimont by 14.6 percentage points. His predecessor, Matt Gaetz (R), defeated the Democrat by 32 points in 2024. (Democrat improves +17.4)

Florida's 6th Congressional District (April 1, 2025): Republican Randy Fine won the special election by 14 points. His predecessor, Michael Waltz (R), defeated the Democrat by 33 points in 2024. (Democrat improves +19)

Virginia's 11th Congressional District (September 9, 2025): Democrat James Walkinshaw won the special election by 51 points, retaining the seat previously held by Rep. Gerald Connolly (D) who won re-election by 34 points in 2024. (Democrat improves +17)

Arizona's 7th Congressional District (September 23, 2025): Democrat Adelita Grijalva won the election by 40 points to succeed her late father, Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D) who won reelection by 27 points in 2024. (Democrat improves +13)

In the 2024 elections, U.S. House of Representatives: Republicans won 15 seats by a margin of less than five percentage points. There were 37 House districts in total decided by this narrow margin, with Democrats winning the other 22.

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Comments on "How are the two major parties' US House candidates doing in 2025 compared to 2024?":

by HatetheSwamp on December 4, 2025 3:33 am

It looks good for Dems to pick up seats in the House in 026. Except. Dems seem to want to nominate candidates from the po/Donna, they/them wing of the party. If wackos Primary moderate-ish incumbents, the Dems might still shoot themselves in the foot.

But, ole pb's rooting for a Dem House majority for 026.

If he gets his way, he guesses that the impeachment process will begin on January 3rd, 026. And, the over-under on Trump Impeachments should be set at 2 1/2. I'm itching to read po's deranged TrumpHate impeachment threads!!!!!

Yeeeeeeeeeeeeha!

by Curt_Anderson on December 4, 2025 1:37 pm
Do you mean any of the winning candidates I named above or perhaps last month's winners of gubernatorial elections? All of them are considered centrists.

Abigail Spanberger became the first female Governor of Virginia. She is a former CIA officer and a centrist Democrat who campaigned on pragmatism and lowering costs.

Mikie Sherrill was elected Governor of New Jersey. A former Navy helicopter pilot and also a centrist Democrat, she focused her campaign on affordability and fiscal responsibility.

by HatetheSwamp on December 4, 2025 1:51 pm

If,... I say, if... IF... they stick with Spanberger, even Sherrill, types, I think Dems'll be fine in 026, But, they nominated Aftyn Behn in a district that Trump won by 22 points... in against a GOP who, clearly, was vulnerable. And, of course, Dems elected Z in NYC.

I'm not confident that Dems will be sensible next spring.

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