Texas legislature passed the gerrymandering Trump wanted; California voters countered it.
By Curt_Anderson November 11, 2025 12:57 pm Category: Politics
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Redistricting is more popular in California than in Texas. Does it matter?
Come the midterm elections, will voters care if they voted for redistricting themselves or if their state's legislature passed it? Will those California voters be more motivated next year? Based on polls, those polled in California were 17% more likely to approve of gerrymandering their state than Texas poll respondents.
The conundrum for those who endeavor to gerrymander, is that while they may have more districts that lean in their party's direction, they are simultaneously diluting, thus endangering, their supposedly solid districts. In RCP's 2026 Generic Congressional Vote, Democrats nationally have a 4.5% edge over Republicans.
A [September 19, 2025] Emerson College Polling survey of California voters finds 51% plan to vote in favor of Proposition 50 in the November special election, which would authorize temporary changes to congressional district maps. Thirty-four percent plan to vote no, and 15% are undecided. Support for Prop. 50 is higher among those “very likely” to vote in the November special election, 55% of whom plan to vote yes and 35% no.
California's Prop. 50 passed with 64.6% of the vote with 35.4% voting no. Essentially all the undecided in the September poll voted yes in November.
Only one-third of Texas voters approve of the GOP-led effort to redraw the state’s congressional map, according to a [September 9, 2025] statewide poll, which found that independent and Democratic voters overwhelmingly opposed the mid-decade redistricting and would rather give control of Texas’ political maps to an appointed commission.
Just 13% of independent voters approve of state lawmakers redrawing the congressional map, while 41% are against it, according to the survey released Tuesday by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin. Overall, 34% of voters said they approved and 41% said they disapproved of the effort, with nearly two-thirds of Republicans voicing support.
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