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CNN: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say By Curt_Anderson June 24, 2025 12:21 pm Category: Military (0.0 from 0 votes) Rules of the Post & Tips. Write & edit articles How To Post Here

CNN — The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an early US intelligence assessment that was described by four people briefed on it.

The assessment, which has not been previously reported, was produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s intelligence arm. It is based on a battle damage assessment conducted by US Central Command in the aftermath of the US strikes, one of the sources said.

The analysis of the damage to the sites and the impact of the strikes on Iran’s nuclear ambitions is ongoing, and could change as more intelligence becomes available. But the early findings are at odds with President Donald Trump’s repeated claims that the strikes “completely and totally obliterated” Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth also said on Sunday that Iran’s nuclear ambitions “have been obliterated.”

Cited and related links:

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Comments Start Below

by HatetheSwamp on June 24, 2025 12:25 pm I'm not surprised. For Trump to have offered the assessment he did while the planes were still in the air was premature and irresponsible. by meagain on June 24, 2025 12:39 pm Russia had a lot of nuclear scientists at those sites. I think the other day, I read as many as 600. I wonder how many of them were killed and what Putin thinks about that. by HatetheSwamp on June 25, 2025 1:05 pm Reposted by that gay Guy Curt never heard of: "The Prime Minister's Office on behalf of the Israel Atomic Energy Commission (IAEC): The devastating US strike on Fordow destroyed the site's critical infrastructure and rendered the enrichment facility inoperable." x.com by Curt_Anderson on June 25, 2025 1:22 pm There are two, possibly three or more enrichment facilities in Iran. We don't know for sure how many because Trump stopped the international inspectors. Anyway, Trump tipped off the Iranians to remove the uranium and critical hardware. by HatetheSwamp on June 25, 2025 1:42 pm Link? by Curt_Anderson on June 25, 2025 1:51 pm State your skeptical question. I'll provide the link. by HatetheSwamp on June 25, 2025 2:33 pm Hey, buddy, I watch the Megyn Kelly podcast. No one there knows what you're claiming. You're usually the first to document a claim... from your Holy Trinity. To say that pb's dubious doesn't come close to cover it. by Curt_Anderson on June 25, 2025 2:38 pm I don't see a question. There is a lot that the Megyn Kelly crowd doesn't know. Can you be more specific with your incredulity? by Navy2711 on June 25, 2025 5:05 pm Well, THAT'S not good. I'm curious what was recommended to Trump at the time of the decision. In the future, we'll probably here testimony from former members of the intelligence community that he was told no-go, but did it anyway. (Because people tweeting "taco" hurt his feelings.) by Curt_Anderson on June 25, 2025 5:16 pm I believe it was on one of the Sunday morning talkshows, regardless, JD Vance said in an interview that they do listen to the intelligence and military assessments andreports, but they also go on "instinct". God help us. by oldedude on June 25, 2025 7:12 pm So both governments have shown the destruction, and Iranians haven't said shit. That's an "indicator" if y'all had any experience in international affairs at all. Thusly, the Iranians had to show a produce a "show of force" at the end to save face. The Israelis responded. Done. The Iranians are fucked. And neither of you understand it. Which tells me much more about the semen than curt. This is how the game is played. I would love to play poker or gin with either of you. It would be a hoot to plummet you for money. You're so fu**ing gullible! by Navy2711 on June 25, 2025 7:17 pm Navy2711's Bitch, I'm pretty sure that everyone understood the symbolic exchange of hostilities. That has to be done to appease the hardliners. There has to be SOME attempt at retribution, even if it's completely ineffective. Even if it wasn't INTENDED to be effective. But what does "the Iranians are fucked mean"? Are you saying something about the likely damage done to their nuclear program? by oldedude on June 25, 2025 7:46 pm Obviously, as an E1, (if at all), you'd know about intel assessments. You don't. so fuck you. by oldedude on June 25, 2025 7:47 pm Sorry, poser.I didn't recognise your lack of "military knowledge." Watch out for sealy!...... by Navy2711 on June 26, 2025 12:29 pm 1. 'Obviously, as an E1, (if at all), you'd know about intel assessments." No idea what you're trying to garble, there. Are you saying that an E1 SHOULD know about intel assessments? Because they definitely would not, unless it was part of their rating. Like, an IS or a CT. But an E1 boatswain's mate probably isn't going to know anything about intel assessments. 2. Stop tucking your tail between your legs and scurrying away. "Man up" and answer the question. Exactly what do you mean when you say, "the Iranians are fucked"? by oldedude on June 26, 2025 12:46 pm semenlicker- First, you need to understand that you being a dikead and troll, I will answer you when I feel like it. Not a second sooner. You still haven't answered ANY of MY questions. So piss off. by Navy2711 on June 26, 2025 1:44 pm Yeah, that's about what I expected. Navy2711's Bitch likes to roleplay as ex-military-but-still-in-the-know, and act like he has inside info that nonoe of us do, or that he can take public news and use his experience to make insightful assessments. Turns out that when he makes assessments and predictions, he doesn't have anything to back them up. by Navy2711 on June 26, 2025 1:46 pm Oh, and you forgot to tell me to watch out, because an animated character that no one has ever heard of is going to "get me". Make sure to include that each and every time, mmmkay? by Indy! on June 26, 2025 1:50 pm And all the jobs he's (allegedly) had. Every subject that comes up he finds a new way to pretend he was intimately involved in the process due to some imaginary job he conveniently held at the time. He thinks this makes him the board "expert" on virtually every worldwide affair when all it really does is add fuel to the fire that he's the biggest liar on the board. by meagain on June 26, 2025 2:38 pm The Iranians have spoken about it, OD. They have said that there was little damage. Also, they had removed much of the material to a safe place before the assault. Both the UN and the USA's own intelligence agree. The most material part of this event is that it is another Trump failure, and an egregious violation and defiance of international law. by oldedude on June 27, 2025 8:20 am Iranian foreign minister admits serious damage to nuclear sites Iran's foreign minister has admitted that "excessive and serious" damage was done to the country's nuclear sites in the recent US and Israeli bombings. Abbas Araghchi told a state broadcaster on Thursday evening, an assessment of the damage is being carried out by the Atomic Energy Organisation of Iran. Meagain. I realize you posted your information that is now two days old. So no fault, no foul on the change. This is an update, coming from the Iranian Foreign Minister. It's also in direct contrast to the "Supreme Leader's" assessment which has been in hiding for a while. This is what I was talking about when the Iranians talk. My question is if we'll ever see Abbas Araghchi again. We used three or four BDU 57s on each site. That's more deep damage than ever seen before in a bombing raid. Iran placed cement over the exhaust chimneys, which the first bombs targeted. After that, the fall rate was unimpeded deeper in each subsequent bombing. by oldedude on June 27, 2025 8:21 am Sorry, here's the citation. msn.com by Navy2711 on June 27, 2025 10:45 am "... BDU-57..." Did we drop training rounds on Iran? Or did we airdrop them between 50 and 60 battle dress uniforms? by oldedude on June 27, 2025 11:09 am TYPO GBU57. Key Points and Summary - The first-ever combat use of the 30,000-pound GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) during "Operation Midnight Hammer" has highlighted the weapon's critical role but also accelerated the push for its successor. -While the B-2 bomber strikes on Iran's buried nuclear sites were deemed a success, the performance of the MOP will now inform the development of the Next Generation Penetrator (NGP). and you're still a dickhead. And had you actually read the citation (which is beyond your comprehension) you would have understood. But you can't do that, richard Cranium. And "BDUs" are obsolete. Since pretty much post Gulf I. by Navy2711 on June 27, 2025 11:22 am Lol @ "BDU". The board's military expert thinks that we dropped rugged, loose-but-comfortable camouflage clothing on Iran. Hey, Pete Hegseth just told me on signal that the Iranians are all playing paintball. I guess that "BDU" drop was successful. by meagain on June 27, 2025 12:22 pm There is evidence showing that Iran removes its enriched Uranium 3 days before the attack. That is what matters. It has enough already to create nuclear weapons with a little more enrichment. This is a list of all the facilities and the impact. It may be a little hard to read and I don't know why it does not present as vlearly as the original Table with 4 columns and 6 rows. (column headers with buttons are sortable) Site Contamination risk Nuclear program importance Status Bushehr power plant Nuclear reactor High Radiological impacts on the region Medium Untouched Tehran research reactor Nuclear reactor High Localized radiological impacts Low Untouched Khondab heavy water reactor (formerly Arak) Nuclear reactor Low Inactive High Israel destroyed Natanz Uranium enrichment Low Chemical risk to facility only High Israel and U.S. attacked Fordow Uranium enrichment Low Assuming conventional attack, depth limits chemical dispersal High U.S. attacked Isfahan Uranium conversion Low Assuming stockpile was removed High Israel and U.S. attacked by Navy2711 on June 27, 2025 1:03 pm "There is evidence showing that Iran removes its enriched Uranium 3 days before the attack. " Yup. With the amount of warning they had, and depending on what form the uranium was in, they definitely could have removed enough for one or two low yield explosives. I'm willing to bet ... just to BET ... that our bombs did significant damage to the rest of their enrichment facilities, though. They rebuilt fast after the Mossad attacks a few years ago, but that doesn't compare to this. Just from my meandering readings, my current Wild Guess Status is that we set them back about 18-24 months. by oldedude on June 27, 2025 1:17 pm "There is evidence showing that Iran removes its enriched Uranium 3 days before the attack. "Bold Where. Yup. With the amount of warning they had, and depending on what form the uranium was in, they definitely could have removed enough for one or two low yield explosives. Agreed, IF the SATCOM folks failed at their jobs. I think this is important enough to park a satellite over each location for 24/7 surveillance, along with either our teams, or Israeli teams on-scene. Just from my meandering readings, my current Wild Guess Status is that we set them back about 18-24 months. Okay. I think you're as close as anyone else at this point. They should be taking heat signatures and calculating radiation leakage. Just my guess. The last thing they wanted was a huge leak or having containers destroyed. by Ponderer on June 27, 2025 1:24 pm So we set them back a few months? That's great! And Donald Trump being totally made into Netanyahu's bitch on the world stage was a small price to pay. by Navy2711 on June 27, 2025 2:04 pm "And Donald Trump being totally made into Netanyahu's bitch on the world stage was a small price to pay." Is that guy giving blowjobs to our Presidents? It's uncanny how easily Netanyahu has gotten his way with America. But yeah, in a year or two, we'll be right back where we are now. But not to worry, we've got plenty of bombs and bombers. (When do the B-21 Raiders come on line?) It sure would be nice if we took some different steps in the meantime. Finding ways for Iran to save face and reengage. The Repubs are masters of messaging ... how about they reframing diplomacy as mutual risk reduction, not ego-threatening concession. Deescalate regional conflicts. Humanitarian relief and technology exchanges. (Good luck with that, as long as Trump is in office) Sanction relief. And security guarantees ... we need to find ways to stop Iran from seeing nukes as protection against regime change. And most of all, Iran needs to allow strict, comprehensive inspections. Yes, I'm a believer in a nation's right to self-determination. But not when it comes to nukes. Too bad, you just can't have nukes. And WE should set the example by reducing our stockpile to the bare minimum. You don't need thousands for deterrence, especially when your submarines can deliver them in 10 minutes. Go To Top

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