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Politics selectors, pages, etc.
Nate Silver: Even with all the brouhaha, Trump is still favored
By HatetheSwamp
July 31, 2024 1:31 pm
Category: Politics

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57%

However, as pb said from the moment "dithering and diminished" Doddering Old Fool was couped, Kammy is favored to win the popular vote... 57%.

Note to all my white dudes for Kamala bruhs: Keep a good thought.


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Comments on "Nate Silver: Even with all the brouhaha, Trump is still favored ":

  1. by Indy! on July 31, 2024 1:48 pm

    So the guy who predicted a Hillary slam dunk on Trunp in 2016 is now saying Trump is going to slam dunk Kamala? If I'm Kamala - I'm feeling pretty good right now.


  2. by HatetheSwamp on July 31, 2024 1:58 pm

    Nate's Nate. Before the "dithering and diminished" Doddering Old Fool was couped, Trump was at 72%.

    As a white dude for Kamala, I'm hopeful that the ballot harvesting and ballot curing and the diddling with the chain of custody of mail-in ballots will win the day. Keep a good thought!


  3. by Indy! on July 31, 2024 3:37 pm

    Or maybe we'll just a normal election where the votes are counted like in 2020.


  4. by HatetheSwamp on July 31, 2024 3:44 pm

    Indy,

    You're the Henny Youngman of this century! "Take Kamala Harris. Please!"


  5. by Curt_Anderson on July 31, 2024 3:47 pm
    HtS,
    So you don't think it's the same ol' same ol'? Let's let Nate Silver explain it.

    Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election?

    Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model.

    The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020.


    What Nate's Silver Bulletin is telling us is that based on an aggregate of a week or so's polls, Trump is ahead. Yeah, we know. I can provide you with similar information during the halftime of a football game. No doubt as the polls continue to report results, Silver's numbers will change.
    natesilver.net


  6. by HatetheSwamp on July 31, 2024 3:58 pm

    That's what I said, Curt... in fewer words.


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