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Is Trump really leading by 6 points?
By HatetheSwamp
July 5, 2024 10:23 am
Category: Politics

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Gang,

Late yesterday, I went on to RCP to check the Trump v Biden match-up. Trump was up 2.9. I figured that's probably as big the gap is going to be, no new polls will come out over the holiday weekend. Then, the polls will even out some.

Wrong.

Today, Trump's up 3.3.

Factor in the truth that MAGAs lie to polsters. They don't say that they will vote Trump. In 020, RCP underestimated Trump's vote by 2.7%.

So add today's 3.3 to the 2.7. Is Trump really up 6.0?

Also. Consider. In 016, Hillary won the real-world popular vote by 2.1 and Trump won the Electoral College 304-227.

All this to ask: Can the Dems afford to let Joe be their candidate?

Dems have to know that. They can't sit on their hands for long.

----------------

If you question my numbers, surf the RCP site.

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Comments on "Is Trump really leading by 6 points?":

  1. by Indy! on July 5, 2024 10:55 am

    I've always said when other people are talking - shut and learn something. People will tell you everything you want to know about them - all their secrets, everything - if you just let them talk. For instance - let's see what peebs just revealed about himself (as if we didn't know)...

    "Factor in the truth that MAGAs lie to polsters. They don't say that they will vote Trump."

    Enuff sed. 😂


  2. by HatetheSwamp on July 5, 2024 11:26 am

    Indy,

    I've been honest from the beginning. I HatetheSwamp. And, "that feckless dementia-ridden piece of crap" is puuuuure Swamp.

    I hope he loses as badly as Jimmy Carter lost in 1980.


  3. by Indy! on July 5, 2024 11:42 am

    Looking forward to our first (black) woman president?


  4. by HatetheSwamp on July 5, 2024 11:56 am

    I'm calling it 50/50... if the Dems diddle candidates effectively.


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