Legitimate polling after the verdict is not looking good for Trump
By Curt_Anderson June 1, 2024 2:03 pm Category: Fact Check
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The polls will become more meaningful and solidify after voter have a chance to process the verdict. However, early polling doesn't bode well for Trump.
Nearly half of Independents said they want former President Donald Trump to drop his 2024 campaign after a New York jury found him guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in his criminal hush money case, according to a new poll released Saturday, following another poll Friday that showed other warning signs for the Republican candidate.
KEY FACTS
A Morning Consult conducted on Friday found 54% of registered voters either “strongly” or “somewhat” approve the guilty verdict, and though 49% said Trump should be sentenced to probation, over 44% who said he should be given a prison sentence (68% of respondents said he should be fined).
Roughly 49% of Independents in the poll said they believe Trump should drop out of the presidential race, just one day after Trump was convicted in his criminal trial in New York.
The survey also found 15% of likely Republican voters believe Trump should drop his campaign, while 8% of self-proclaimed Trump supporters in the survey said the same.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted just hours after Trump’s guilty verdict was read also found 56% of Republican voters said the conviction does not change their vote, while 35% said they were more inclined to vote for Trump after the verdict.
Still: 10% of Republicans in the Reuters/Ipsos poll, which surveyed over 2,500 U.S. adults, said they were less likely to vote for Trump in the wake of the conviction, while a quarter of Independent voters said the same—18% of Independents said they were more likely to vote for Trump after the conviction.
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The polls will become more meaningful and solidify after voter have a chance to process the verdict. However, early polling doesn't bode well for Trump.
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