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The news is getting hard to watch
By Donna
November 6, 2022 9:56 pm
Category: Alcoholic Beverages

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In January of 2021, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists set the Doomsday Clock down 20 seconds to 100 seconds before midnight -- the clock's closest approach to midnight, exceeding that of 1953 and 2018 -- and kept it at 100 seconds in January of this year,

That was before Russia invaded Ukraine, before Putin threatened the world with nuclear weapons, and before China made any serious threats about invading Taiwan.

I think the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists should hold an emergency session and reset the Doomsday Clock to 1 minute before midnight.

From the article below:

"This Ukraine crisis that we’re in right now, this is just the warmup,” [Adm. Charles Richard, United States Strategic Command commander] said. “The big one (i.e., a conflict with China) is coming. And it isn’t going to be very long before we’re going to get tested in ways that we haven’t been tested in a long time.”

Urgent rethinking of current U.S. defense strategies and deterrence capabilities is needed in order to prepare for the threat of conflict with China, Richard argued, as this would be a different caliber of conflict to Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine, which began in February.

“We have to do some rapid, fundamental change(s) in the way we approach the defense of this nation (the U.S.),” he said.

Overall, Richard offered a bleak assessment of America's ability to deter China militarily in the near term:

“As I assess our level of deterrence against China, the ship is slowly sinking. It is sinking slowly, but it is sinking, as fundamentally they (China) are putting capability in the field faster than we are. As those curves keep going, it isn’t going to matter how good our (operating plan) is or how good our commanders are, or how good our horses are — we're not going to have enough of them. And that is a very near-term problem.”

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Comments on "The news is getting hard to watch ":

  1. by Curt_Anderson on November 6, 2022 10:23 pm
    This probably won't cheer you up, but Putin needs to think twice about nuking Ukraine. Weather in the northern hemisphere tends to move in an easterly direction. Radioactive fallout would likely drift over Russia. Therefore if he does anything, he's likely to use a "small" nuclear bomb to minimize fallout.

  2. by oldedude on November 7, 2022 4:00 am
    I'm still opting for Chemical WMD. Some of their stuff actually has a 2-3 hour of activity and then breaks down. This allows them to move into an area quickly, and they won't get the residual. Vlad also knows that nukes are a sure fire bet the world (minus China, Iran, DPRK) will be against him. China is watching our responses. Very carefully. They know they can move, and are, as usual, waiting for the right time (waiting is an action).

  3. by Donna on November 7, 2022 7:54 am

    Without even getting into the nuke threat, I fear that the US and allies are going to be spread too thin and that our ability to help Ukraine or Taiwan is going to be severely limited. I'm also concerned that there's going to be increased pushback from the citizenry against further military aid, and the toll that that could take on the protection of freedom and democracy around the world.

  4. by oldedude on November 7, 2022 12:30 pm
    I'll agree with all of that in theory. I absolutely think we're too thin. Especially with the new courses and changeover we've had in the Senior NCO and operator corps. Once they started teaching gender stuff and all that, the warrior corps especially, retired if they could. This is the bulk of corporate knowledge in the military. The Marines, Army, and the operators were the hardest hit (*see below if you want the reasoning).

    We know how the Russians fight. Not well. But the distraction as you said, is well noted by China. We don't have the capability of fighting a two front war anymore. A big question is how do we work with the Reserves and National Guard. Granted, our units are typically better than the Russians, but that's still manpower. Do we leave them in the states to protect us? What happens if stuff starts blowing up here? Then we have a three front war we can't handle.

    I know I went into a lot of particulars. But you're right and I thought I'd just give you my view of it.

    *One operator spends over a year in training before they ever see a team. They spend another 6 months working with different teams, but not assigned to one. Eventually, if a team likes how you work and your ethics, you'll start working with that team. Eventually, you'll go through the ceremony of actually being accepted. That's a heck of a thing to have to replace in a matter of months.

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