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Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight: The Case for a Democratic Surprise on Election Night

By Donna
November 6, 2022 9:55 am
Category: Politics

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Michael Moore is counting on this:

"Let me stop you right there. Because it wasn’t just Kansas. There were a bunch of special elections, too. Are you familiar with the website FiveThirtyEight dot com? Here, I’m going to pull my phone out because I bookmarked the page just to make sure I got this right. According to Mr. Nathaniel Rakich — lovely first name, by the way — things changed after Roe was overturned. “Since that decision … Democrats have outperformed their expected margins in [four special House elections] by an average of 9 points.” And that doesn’t even count Alaska! You’re telling me Democrats are going to have a bad year when they’re winning elections in Kansas and Alaska?"





Cited and related links:

  1. rsn.org

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