1. The GOP has an extremely weak candidate for governor. Donna often demeans a significant portion of the electorate as being "low information." While pb rejects the self-righteousness packed into that judgment, pb knows that some people who vote don't watch cable news daily. Some vote because they've been taught it's their civic duty. pb notes that pollsters say that those voters tend not to split their ballot. It's likely that Oz will lose out because the marquee race here is the gubernatorial race and many who vote Dem for governor will vote Dem for Senate.
2. Pennsylvania Dems cheat. I've recounted the appearance of eminent pollsters Matt Towery and Robert Cahaly on Fox on Friday. Both agreed. Oz will almost certainly will get more votes but...the way Pennsylvania counts votes is the driving issue, i.e., Dems cheat. pb has posted whistle-blower videos proving that Philadelphia area Dems destroyed the chain of evidence with mail-in ballots. Nothing has been done with real evidence. In Pennsylvania Dems cheat...and get away with it.
For pb, it feels like Oz is leading among people who will cast ballots...
...but Fetterman,most likely, will win the Senate seat.