If Trump runs and loses in the primaries will he cry "rigged election"? And if so, how will the GOP handle his complaints? I have difficulty imagining Trump losing gracefully.
(Newsweek)Polling data by Reuters/Ipsos released on Thursday shows that Trump is losing support among GOP voters for a 2024 presidential run. Survey data collected from July 20 to 21 showed that about one-third (32 percent) of Republicans "strongly" or "somewhat" agreed with the statement that Trump "should NOT run for president again in 2024." That was an increase from about one-quarter (26 percent) who said the same just six weeks ago.
Additionally, in the previous early-June poll, 51 percent of Republicans "strongly" disagreed with the statement that Trump shouldn't seek another term. That level of strong disapproval with the statement dipped 10 points to 41 percent in the latest survey.
Relatedly, the level of Republicans who believe Trump is at least partially responsible for January 6 has increased as well. In June, one-third (33 percent) "strongly" or "somewhat" agreed with the statement that the former president is at least "partly to blame for starting" the Capitol riot. In July, that amount has increased to 40 percent.
Among GOP respondents to the July survey, 9 percent said Trump was "fully" responsible for January 6, while 15 percent said "largely" and 29 percent said "partially." At the same time, a majority of Republicans still expressed belief in Trump's misinformation, with 55 percent saying that they "strongly" or "somewhat" agree that the 2020 election was stolen. However, that level has gone down 11 points in six weeks.