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The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening

Posted by NahWeh 
The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 17, 2017 11:59AM
[thenextweb.com]

Quote

Automation is coming? No, it’s already here

While the current administration focuses on bringing jobs back to the United States from China and Mexico, the real threat to job loss already resides within our borders.

According to a study by two Ball State University professors, 87 percent of all manufacturing jobs lost from 2000 to 2010 weren’t due to globalization, but robots. All told, some five million fewer manufacturing jobs exist today than in 2000, a problem government leaders are mostly ignoring. TNW alum Martin Bryant likened it to ‘recklessly putting their heads in the sand‘ when describing politicians’ views on automation.

Brooklyn-based Voodoo Manufacturing offers a peek into what this future could look like.

The 3D printing company consists of nine printers mounted on server racks, a track where a robotic arm harvests finished plates, and a plate “hopper” that feeds new, clean plates to the robot as needed. This is forward thinking, as 3D printing isn’t laborious, per se, but it does require human intervention.

Unfortunately for most humans, these are exactly the types of menial jobs best handled by robots.



Whether you choose to embrace it is up to you, but there’s no denying it’s coming. Humans simply can’t match robots in output at scale.

“Today we have about a 30- to 40-percent utilization rate of our factory,” explained Voodoo Manufacturing CPO Jonathan Schwartz. “We’re hoping to push that to 90- to 95-percent over the next three-to-five years.”

This sort of efficiency before the automation age was unheard of. Now, it’s not only a possibility, it’s a near-certainty. And it’s hard to blame a company aiming to cut costs while improving output. Business, after all, isn’t charity, and global competition is making it harder to compete than ever. If robots offer an edge, businesses are likely to take it.

But maybe we’re focusing on the wrong things.

Once we let the cat out of the bag, which we assuredly did in the push toward automation, it’s not something we can undo. While we attempt to write off job loss to globalization — a petty tactic used to distract, not inform — maybe it’s time to recognize the true cause. And once understand where our jobs are going, maybe then we can put our collective heads together to find out a solution for a newly unemployed workforce.

It’s time to adapt, to create a future that’s both cognizant of what’s coming while impervious to the fear-based rhetoric that surrounds it. Automation is a good thing, or it will be at some point. There will be hurdles, and we will overcome them. But the conversation can’t get underway, at least not in an impactful way, until we quit trying to shove the cat back into the bag.

As for the solution, I don’t have one. But automation is coming, and it’s time we stop pretending we can stop it. It’s time to leap, while at the same time figuring out what this new landing area looks like.

Bring on the robots.

[www.theguardian.com]

Quote

Both left and right are promoting the idea of a basic wage for everyone, currently on trial, as a solution to the new world of work

When he got the letter after Christmas saying he was entitled to an unconditional income of €560 (£478) a month, Mika Ruusunen couldn’t believe his luck. “At first I thought it was a joke. I had to read it many times. I looked for any evidence it might be false.”

But the father of two was not the victim of a scam. He has been selected to take part in an experiment being run by the Finnish government, in which 2,000 unemployed people between the ages of 25 and 58 will receive a guaranteed sum – a “basic income” – of €560 a month for two years. It replaces their unemployment benefit, but they will continue to receive it whether or not they find work. The government hopes it will encourage the unemployed to take on part-time work without worrying about losing their benefits.

Today, the Finnish economy continues to struggle in the wake of the financial crisis, which hit just as communications giant Nokia’s star was starting to wane. This left Ruusunen, who lost his job as a baker two years ago, struggling to find work. He was unemployed when participants for the basic income pilot were randomly selected, but had started a paid IT apprenticeship by the time he got the letter.

“For me, it’s like free money on top of my earnings – it’s a bonus,” he tells me. But he thinks the basic income will make a big difference to others who are unemployed, especially those who are entrepreneurially minded. “If someone wants to start their own business, you don’t get unemployment benefits even if you don’t have any income for six months. You have to have savings, otherwise it’s not possible.”

Juha Järvinen, another participant in the pilot scheme who lives in western Finland, agrees the benefits system holds the unemployed back. He has been unemployed for five years since his business collapsed. “I have done a lot for free – wedding videos, making web pages – because I’ve liked it. But before a basic income I would get into trouble if I got any money for that work.”

Finland’s experiment is a variation on the idea of a universal basic income: an unconditional income paid by the government to all citizens, whether or not they’re in work. The Finns have long been perceived to be at the cutting edge of social innovation, so this is a fitting setting for the first national experiment of its kind.

But the idea of the basic income has captured a zeitgeist extending far beyond the borders of Scandinavia. Enthusiasts include Silicon Valley’s Elon Musk, former Clinton labour secretary Robert Reich, Benoît Hamon, the French socialist presidential candidate, and South Korean presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung. On Friday, Glasgow city council commissioned a feasibility study for its own basic income pilot.

The basic income is a big idea with a pedigree. It owes its roots to Thomas Paine, the 18th-century radical, who in 1797 proposed paying all 21-year-olds a £15 grant funded through a tax on landowners. Since then it has captured the imagination of many a philosopher, but until the past couple of years never gained much political traction beyond the fringes.

So what explains the sudden jump this centuries-old idea has made from political fringes to the mainstream?


Read On: [www.theguardian.com]

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Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 17, 2017 06:28PM
Its a good idea. Forget all the luddite b.s. Such people just want to spend their time acting like robots as it is. Of course as the article suggests social remodeling is necessary.

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"Build yourselves a wall of ships!" said the Oracle!
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 17, 2017 06:33PM
A basic income programme is bing developed for a trial area here in Ontario. Should be started before much longer.
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 17, 2017 07:16PM
Cool. Unfortunately Canada also has a deficit problem.

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"Build yourselves a wall of ships!" said the Oracle!
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 17, 2017 08:38PM
Actually, it does not have that problem. Debt to GDP ratio has been falling except for part of the Harper years where it was a deliberate tax reduction policy below revenue requirements that caused it. And this is Ontario's initiative. I would see this as a stimulant.
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 17, 2017 09:17PM
"While the current administration focuses on bringing jobs back to the United States from China and Mexico, the real threat to job loss already resides within our borders."

That's true, the real threat is within . . .
it's politicians & greedy businesses who don't care about us!
There will always be jobs that require a human touch.


"Bring on the robots."

Bring on the war for jobs & freedom!


Let me get this straight, this scene is illegal in 300 cities?
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 18, 2017 12:26AM
Coincidentally, yesterday I added a question option to our Career Selector: [www.selectsmart.com] to avoid jobs that have the potential of being automated.



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Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 19, 2017 11:49PM
While technology is cool & all, it's sad that people are losing jobs.

I used to work on robotic cameras. I could do the work of multiple people,
and it felt like a video game.


Now look at them yo-yo's that's the way you do it
You play the guitar on the MTV
That ain't workin' that's the way you do it
Money for nothin' and chicks for free
Now that ain't workin' that's the way you do it
Lemme tell ya them guys ain't dumb
Maybe get a blister on your little finger
Maybe get a blister on your thumb

We gotta install microwave ovens
Custom kitchen deliveries
We gotta move these refrigerators
We gotta move these colour TV's

See the little faggot with the earring and the makeup
Yeah buddy that's his own hair
That little faggot got his own jet airplane
That little faggot he's a millionaire

We gotta install microwave ovens
Custom kitchens deliveries
We gotta move these refrigerators
We gotta move these colour TV's

I shoulda learned to play the guitar
I shoulda learned to play them drums
Look at that mama, she got it stickin' in the camera
Man we could have some fun
And he's up there, what's that? Hawaiian noises?
Bangin' on the bongoes like a chimpanzee
That ain't workin' that's the way you do it
Get your money for nothin' get your chicks for free

We gotta install microwave ovens
Custom kitchen deliveries
We gotta move these refrigerators
We gotta move these colour TV's, Lord

Now that ain't workin' that's the way you do it
You play the guitar on the MTV
That ain't workin' that's the way you do it
Money for nothin' and your chicks for free
Money for nothin' and chicks for free

-DIRE STRAITS
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 21, 2017 09:36AM
Society already has experienced this. About 150 years ago, everything people owned was handmade. That provided lots of busy work for all the craftspeople who supplied those goods. Then with the advent of interchangeable parts, assembly lines and other aspect of the industrial age, fewer artisans were needed. Somehow our standard of living improved. Why?



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Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 21, 2017 09:20PM
Curt Anderson,

Society already has experienced this. About 150 years ago, everything people owned was handmade. That provided lots of busy work for all the craftspeople who supplied those goods. Then with the advent of interchangeable parts, assembly lines and other aspect of the industrial age, fewer artisans were needed."

Yes, but we didn't also outsource jobs to other countries.
So now the one guy using robotics is not even here.


"Somehow our standard of living improved. Why?"

Improved is a matter of perspective, don't you think?

Many think it is not. I myself believe many things have gotten worse.

Did you notice my topic on "The Paradox Of Our Time?"
It perfectly describes a decline in our society!

http://www.selectsmart.com/DISCUSS/read.php?33,1080078


Let me get this straight, this scene is illegal in 300 cities?
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 22, 2017 04:46AM
Quote
angel.us
Curt Anderson,

Society already has experienced this. About 150 years ago, everything people owned was handmade. That provided lots of busy work for all the craftspeople who supplied those goods. Then with the advent of interchangeable parts, assembly lines and other aspect of the industrial age, fewer artisans were needed."

Yes, but we didn't also outsource jobs to other countries.
So now the one guy using robotics is not even here.


"Somehow our standard of living improved. Why?"

Improved is a matter of perspective, don't you think?

Many think it is not. I myself believe many things have gotten worse.

Did you notice my topic on "The Paradox Of Our Time?"
It perfectly describes a decline in our society!

http://www.selectsmart.com/DISCUSS/read.php?33,1080078

America certainly DID outsource jobs. Most of our textiles were produced on England, especially linen and cotton fabrics. We imported a wide range of agricultural implements, metalware and hardware. We imported dishes and cooking utensils. We didn't manufacture very much. We imported lots of rum and wine. We imported tea and spices. After the Boston Tea Party and America's hot beverage taste changed, we imported coffee from South America. Needless to say, America had slaves which was the ultimate in competition and undercutting American workers' wages.

No it's not a matter of perspective. Our standard of living is certainly higher than it was 150 years ago. Today's low income earners would be very uncomfortable with a lifestyle of a rich person living in the early 19th century. I don't know about you, but I like indoor plumbing, electricity, a car, refrigeration, computers, TV, etc. etc. I also like not having to be subsistence farmer like most Americans were back then.



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How to select the right mattress for you.
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 22, 2017 09:13PM
Curt,

"America certainly DID outsource jobs. Most of our textiles were produced on England, especially linen and cotton fabrics. We imported a wide range of agricultural implements, metalware and hardware. We imported dishes and cooking utensils. We didn't manufacture very much. We imported lots of rum and wine. We imported tea and spices. After the Boston Tea Party and America's hot beverage taste changed, we imported coffee from South America. Needless to say, America had slaves which was the ultimate in competition and undercutting American workers' wages."

I'm not sure of percentages. However, one issue that led to the civil war was that the south
wanted cheaper products while the north wanted to protect its jobs.

Also note; one reason the south lost is because of this. If you are not making products,
how will it affect you in war time. The south didn't have enough boots.


"No it's not a matter of perspective."

Well, that is your perspective. Did you read the paradox of our time?
I was talking about the overall of everything in society not just technology.


"Our standard of living is certainly higher than it was 150 years ago.

True, but we are actually making a lot less by value then people a long time ago.
If you compare say 1912 to 2012 people have to spend 250 times what they
did to get the same amount of stuff.

Playing with the money system always cause problems!


"Today's low income earners would be very uncomfortable with a lifestyle of a rich person living in the early 19th century. I don't know about you, but I like indoor plumbing, electricity, a car, refrigeration, computers, TV, etc. etc. I also like not having to be subsistence farmer like most Americans were back then."

True, & I like conveniences too.


Let me get this straight, this scene is illegal in 300 cities?
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 23, 2017 02:22AM
Quote
angel.us
"Our standard of living is certainly higher than it was 150 years ago.

True, but we are actually making a lot less by value then people a long time ago.
If you compare say 1912 to 2012 people have to spend 250 times what they
did to get the same amount of stuff.

Playing with the money system always cause problems!

$250 times?! Not even close. People today have to work much less time than people did in 1900 to buy the same stuff.

1900 Occupation Income
Average of all Industries
$ 438/year
State and Local Government Workers
$ 590/year
Public School Teacher
$ 328/year
Building Trades
37 ¢/hour
Working week: 48.3 h.

1900 Product Price
Butter (Pound)
$ .26
Eggs (Dozen)
$ .23
Bicycle
$ 16.75

1990 Occupation Income
Wages per Full-Time Employee
$ 23602/year (54 times more than 1900)
State and Local Government Workers
$ 24818/year (42 times more than 1900)
Public School Teacher
$ 23653/year (72 times more than 1900)
Building Trades
$ 25504/year (34 times more than 1900)

1990 Product Price
Butter (Pound)
$ 2.10 (8 times more than 1900)
Eggs (Dozen)
$ 1.23 (5.3 times more than 1900)
Bicycle
$ 104.92 (6.2 times more than 1900)
[usa.usembassy.de]



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Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 27, 2017 12:49AM
The things you are listing are subsidized products.
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 27, 2017 02:37AM
Quote
angel.us
The things you are listing are subsidized products.

Bicycles aren't subsidized. You are implying the subsides lower consumer prices. Studies indicate that isn't true: [www.atr.org] It certainly isn't anywhere close to the 250 times you said things cost nowadays as compared to the "good old days".



Mattress Selector
How to select the right mattress for you.
Re: The solution to automation-related job loss starts with admitting it’s happening
April 28, 2017 11:34PM
http://money.usnews.com/money/personal-finance/articles/2015/01/02/a-glimpse-at-your-expenses-100-years-ago

[www.denverpost.com]
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